"The Path of Plots"

Plot predictions for The Path of Daggers:

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Submission 32 - Kurt Montadon


Six days have passed since the ending of ACOS.


The Prologue:



My view of the prologue is mostly based upon the precedent of the previous prologues, as it seems a vague pattern has been established as to what a prologue will hold, what kind of people it will use, and just how much will get done.


The First Part of the Book:


Opening scene will be the wind thing, blowing into Illian. Here we see Rand, and are introduced through his POV to the Council of Eight (Rand is wondering who to raise as the Ninth). The usual explanation of the setup of politics follows, as well as a thin layer of supporting Illianer characters comes forth, some of them naturally are Sammael's Darkfriend lackeys. Most of the Darkfriends have fled the city. It seems likely that, dead or alive, Sammael had left orders should Rand conquer the city to undermine the workings of the Dragon Reborn. These orders will begin to show through later. For the first few chapters, we see Rand coordinate the movement of Aiel and other soldiers into Illian, and we see his arrogance deflate a little as he realizes just how big of a mess he's holding onto.


Rand returns to Tear, just to check on things. He decides to find a new _angreal_ in the Hold, and does so, in the process giving us a good description of the Great Hold of Tear. This new _angreal_ restores his confidence, and his arrogance grows again. But he still cannot bring himself to touch _Callandor_. His obligatory first few chapters end with his pondering in front of _Callandor_, wondering who will follow after, and wondering whether it will be friend or enemy.


We then turn to a nice long, three-chapter or so segment on Perrin, who is gallivanting around Ghealdan hunting the Prophet. He finds him, and the Prophet falls on his knees babbling about how Perrin is such a good friend of Rand, and how he will lead his army of believers to Rand's aid. For once, we see someone jump to help Rand, and honestly so, although he is a raving idiot blinded by his vision of the Light and the Dragon. Masema openly professes his belief that Rand and the Light are one and the same. As usual, this is just a side-show to give Perrin the lime-light for a little while.


A brief bit on Gawyn leading the Youngling's back to the WT to face Elaida's wrath for not defending the AS delegation properly. Even as Alviarin's blackmail-puppet, Elaida still has power and a strong will. The same chapter will see the hunt for the BA uncover not the BA, but the Salidar AS moles that have infiltrated the White Tower, and will reveal them to the Tower for the spies they are. The spies that are caught will be brought before the Hall, sometime later at least.


Tylin finds the Kin, wherever they've made their hideout (doubtful that it's going to be where they originally intended, at that retreat). Here she finds that many of the Kin did not escape the city, and neither did Mat, but some of her soldiers and servants and such did. The Sea Folk are here, too, distraught about the loss of their ships. They are all on the move farther inland, further distressing the Sea Folk, but it cannot be helped. More refugees are found from the city, and some Kin arrive. Many have escaped because the Seanchan did not bother sweeping the city for those who can channel, only made those who wished to leave swear the Oaths and go as they would in the service of the Empire. Few of Ebou Dar who swore have any intention of holding to their Oaths, of course. Tylin begins to organize resistance with the aid of the Aes Sedai. Teslin and Joline did not escape, it is discovered. Most likely they were captured.


Another of those multi-view chapters. We see Morgase moving into Ghealdan, possibly to encounter Perrin and the Prophet, or maybe even Galad. We see Gawyn (this chapter is about the Royal Family of Andor, let's get the two biggest wastes of plotline together in one spot while we're at it), and his POV of the troubles in the Tower. The inquiry into the possibility of traitors in the Tower is starting to point, not towards the BA, but possible spies in the Tower. The Salidar AS spies grow nervous. Gawyn grows more useless.


Some small section on Graendal, as she realizes that she is free of Sammael, and she begins to reassert herself. Here we see her ties to Rand come forth, as it is revealed that she has spies in high places, even in Illian (Lanfear revealed, in TFoH, that Greandal had a close eye on Rand). She holds a meeting with Mesaana, and tells of Sammael's fate. Mesaana passes this on to her "allies" Demandred and Semirhage, and they plot how to use this to their advantage. Demandred obviously has some control over the Seanchan (his "proxies"), so events on the south coast will definitely interest him.


A scene with Egwene, as the Salidar AS pass into Andor. Word has spread before them, and an army of Andorans begins to assemble some miles ahead of them. Rand has yet to reassert himself in Andor, and Elayne will not return yet, as the Bowl of Winds remains unused. Egwene considers all this, and is startled when Elayne _does_ return, without Mat and with Nynaeve, Lan, and many of the Kin and the Sea Folk. With the Sea Folk not having any ships, and the Kin's hideaway gone, there was no point in remaining in Altara, so they returned to Egwene. Some of the Kin remained behind, to aid Tylin in resistance. Those that remained behind are Ebou Dari natives, and, unbound by the Three Oaths, they are willing to do what they can to aid resistance against the Seanchan. The Bowl of Winds is used in some dramatic scene, with good effect. It rains, and a cool wind blows. (A wind arose. . . oh never mind).


Rand again, arriving anew in Caemlyn. He hears of the army in Andor readying to resist the rebel AS, and calls it down, putting himself in authority again. He Travels to the rebel encampment, and in another Dramatic Scene persuades Elayne to return to Caemlyn, which she does, and is coronated some days later. Dyelin, of course, acknowledges Elayne, and the Andoran army allows the rebel AS to pass. Rand is relieved, but still intentionally avoids Elayne and Aviendha. Who are both rather upset at that. Min remains in Caemlyn for the time being, willing to split from Rand for the opportunity to talk with Elayne again and to finally meet Aviendha. Tensions run high here, with much glaring, sniffing, and the strong possibility of Aviendha drawing a knife at any moment.


Rand goes back to Illian, to check on things there. He finds Wiermon increasingly arrogant in light of the Tairen "victory" over the Illianers, and is forced to set him down. The politicking in Illian gets to be too much, and he Travels to Cairhien to look in on things there.


In Cairhien, we see preparations for the arrival of Elayne, who is to be crowned as Queen sometime in the next month. A great matter still is on Rand's mind: what to do with the captured Tower Aes Sedai. They remain under the supervision of the Wise Ones, but this is only a temporary solution at best. He consults Verin and Alanna, the only two Aes Sedai he _knows_, with the intention of actually listening to his advice for a change. They strongly suggest that he give the prisoners over to the care of the rebel Aes Sedai, which Rand himself had thought of. Cadsuane enters, as usual without permission, and Rand takes her into his confidence on the matter of the prisoners, as a sort of whim of his. She "suggests" that he turn these prisoners over to the Tower, to help smooth relations over with them, regardless of how he views the Tower. The turning over of the prisoners to the rebels is a distasteful second choice, only acceptable because Aes Sedai would know how to treat Aes Sedai, even as prisoners.


Next scene is a brief Cadsuane POV, with her considering what she is doing. She cannot stand the thought of rebellion against the Tower, but she is pulling Aes Sedai to her by sheer prestige, and this seems to be forming another faction of Aes Sedai. She cannot stand the thought of rebellion, but does not believe the Tower can use Rand wisely, and thus must take matters into her own hands.


The next part of the book:


In the Tower, the inquiry into possible treason in the Tower uncovers a startling thing: Salidar spies. Five are rooted out and imprisoned, stunning the Tower as to the possibility of rebel infiltration. Elaida demands the only possible punishment: stilling. She intends to make an example of these rebels to cow the others, and to bring the Tower about to her. Alviarin has been cast in a bad light of late, by subtle manipulations of Elaida and her friends, in a careful campaign to discredit the Keeper. The other five Salidar spies still remain, doing what they can to bring the Tower against Elaida. They catch wind of Elaida's intent to discredit her own Keeper, and decide to approach Alviarin. They do so cautiously, even as the Hall convenes for the dealing of the punishment nine days after the discovery of the spies. Alviarin recognizes the rebel spies for what they are, but listens to them, seeing opportunity to throw the Tower into chaos.


From Gawyn's POV, we see the stillings. He has spoken out, but has no say in the matter. Few of the Aes Sedai view him in good light after the matter of Dumai's Wells was told of, and he was put down as a scapegoat. He views the stillings with disgust, and later watches Elaida announce that any Salidar rebel would suffer the same fate if they continued rebellion. This before a dozen local lords, and (as Elaida hopes) any remaining Salidar spies. Or any Tower AS who think to join the rebels. Then, Elaida announces that the rebel "Amyrlin" shall suffer the fate whether she surrenders or not, as the crime demands stilling. She uses Egwene's name here as the rebel Amyrlin for the first time, and this throws Gawyn off big time, forcing him to review his loyalties. He leaves the Tower, wondering what to do, what to do. . . (but he still remains essentially useless, of course).


Outside the Black Tower, fifty Aes Sedai of the Red Ajah assemble, lead by Toveine Sedai. Two-hundred Tar Valon guards cast off their disguises they used to travel through Andor, and prepare to escort the AS. The plan is simple: go to the Black Tower, disband the assembled rif-raff, and demand the turning over of any channeling men present. They expect little resistance, and plan to gentle and hang the two or three channelers they expect to find. So they head towards the Black Tower in supreme confidence.


Taim POV, with him knowing of the Aes Sedai's approach through wards. Whether he is Demandred or not, his plan is simple: lure them in, take them apart with the full power of the Black Tower. Word comes forth that the Aes Sedai are entering the grounds, and that all the students are in position. Taim watches the Aes Sedai come into the clearing from a hiding place, and almost smiles. Three Asha'man accompanied by a dozen Dedicated and soldiers are in the clearing, and confront the Aes Sedai. The AS are confident, and Toveine comes forth. The leader of the Asha'man is Gedwyn, who is the most trusted of Taim's Asha'man. He confronts Toveine. Toveine demands the turning over of any channeling men. Gedwyn laughs, and demands that the Aes Sedai go back to the Tower before they get hurt. Toveine wraps Gedwyn in air, intending to teach him a lesson, Aes Sedai style. She never does, because then three-hundred Asha'man and Dedicated flow forth from behind trees and from inside the nearest buildings. The Tower guards see nothing more than a few hundred armed young men, and wait for the Aes Sedai to disperse them with the Power. They do not, because many of them are shielded. The Aes Sedai panic, forming into planned circles of thirteen, trying unsuccessfully to link. A few channel wildly, lashing with all they know. The guards are cut down by the Asha'man swiftly or bound and gagged by Air. Taim is up front now, and gives the order for the Asha'man to kill, which they do with impunity. A few Aes Sedai and guards are spared, and are told to return to the Tower to tell the story of their defeat. No male channelers are more than mildly wounded. Then, two soldiers come running, with a message that there is visitor. Logain has come to the Black Tower. Taim almost smiles again.


We catch up with the Black Ajah, with Moghedien taking Falion back to Shayol Ghul to receive new orders from Moridin. She has completed her task, though we don't know what that task is. Her other, less important mission, to capture the *'angreal catche, has failed at the hands of Sammael and Elayne, Nynaeve, & co. She is angered that Nynaeve is not dead, but hopes that Moridin is happy that his secret task is complete.


Marillin Gemalphin is in Caemlyn, undiscovered but for rumors that have drifted about of an Aes Sedai helping cats. As a Brown, it was her task as set by Moghedien to search the Library of Caemlyn for any references to items of Power that might be in Caemlyn, or Andor. Her other tasks were to seek out items of Power on her own, and to disrupt Rahvin's efforts in Caemlyn if possible. Now that Rahvin is dead, she has taken the liberty of beginning to round up Darkfriends in Caemlyn, though not as effectively as other Aes Sedai might. She is Brown, but not so absent minded as to be un-cautious. With the Dragon in Caemlyn, and Moghedien dissapeared, she is seriously considering leaving Caemlyn and returning to Amador. But perhaps there is something she can do to damage the Dragon's works in Caemlyn. . . then comes Semirhage into her dreams, Semirhage who knows through Shaidar Haran who the BA serving Moghedien are, and is collecting them for the DO's use.


Berylla Naron, in Illian, faces a similar situation. With her manipulative talent, her task was to work against Sammael. With the arrival of the Dragon Reborn as King in Illian, she has changed that to undermining him. At the same time, she is gathering up Sammael's Darkfriends for her own use. She, too, is approached by Semirhage in her sleep, and given new orders as to what to do in Illian.


In Cairhien, many days pass and Elayne comes to Cairhien for the coronation. The elaborate ceremony goes forth, somewhat differently than that in Andor, and the people have yet another celebration. Min has accompanied her, to be around Rand when Elayne isn't taking up his time. Elayne is occupied with the business of two thrones, to Min's pleasure. Rand is rather busy with the business of being the Dragon Reborn, to Min's displeasure. Caraline Damodred and Toram Riatin are not to be found, nor is the High Lord Darlin. Rand assumes that Caraline went to Tear with Darlin, and that Toram is dead. He idly wonders where Fain is, but doesn't worry too much over the matter. He finally finds time for the Sea Folk, who bring word that ships around Ebou Dar have vanished, that no traffic comes out of Ebou Dar. Rand knows through Elayne that the Seanchan are in Altara, but he can't do anything but warn the Sea Folk of this. The Sea Folk are turning out to be pretty useless in watching for the Seanchan.


Mat is having his own problems with the Seanchan, as he is called back to the Seanchan. He has been mistaken for a lord, one of the few to still be in the city, and the DotNM wishes to speak with him. This, of course, makes him nervous, but he accepts her "invitation." She takes an interest in him, as he is of nobility and not a commoner, and so she can speak with him on a regular basis without anything seeming abnormal. Mat is waiting for the first opportunity to leave the city. Through the DotNM, though, he learns many things. That Tylin escaped, that many _marath'damane_ were captured, and other things of the Seanchan themselves. Without meaning to, he grows interested in them. He finally learns the fate of his men, that some resisted and were killed, some escaped. Vanin escaped, as he is not found amongst the dead. Thom and Juilin escaped, same reason.


Mat finally starts to play the part of his usual self after two weeks or so of imprisonment, and the DotNM is rather impressed. Mat forgets about leaving the city, though only by accident. That and the DotNM has grown too interested in him to allow him to leave the city. She tells him she is considering taking him back with her to Seanchan. She mentions having an artifact of the AoL with her, and he finds out she has the Horn with her, and that he can sense it (a random prediction, that, being bound to the Horn, Mat can sense it when he's close enough). To find an "honorable" escape, without making it look like he wants to escape, he offers to serve as an emissary from the Seanchan to the Dragon Reborn, and the DotNM considers this.


Another multi-part chapter, in which we see the Chosen. Graendal has fully allied herself with Demandred, Semirhage, and Mesaana, realizing it is unlikely that she will be able to reassert herself any time soon. The other Chosen are gone, for all intents and purposes, and the remaining four talk of this, and wonder which of them will be Nae'blis. Much arguing as to their course of action, Graendal with the least say of the matter. All finally come to the point which frightens them the most: the new Chosen. They are all aware by now that Shaidar Haran is something beyond Myrddraal, even beyond Chosen, and might even be Nae'blis, a matter too horrible to contemplate. But there have been hints that new Chosen have been, well, Chosen.


Moridin is revealed to us, with him contemplating the movements of the old and new Chosen, and of those bound to him (best guess: Asmodean with Moghedien). He thinks of himself as Chosen, and (guessin again) we discover he is from the AoL, where he was a "Chosen-in-Training," so to speak, and was somehow, uh, preserved from the AoL (stasis box, vacuole, T'A'R, a seal like that on the DO's prison, an unkown prisoner in the seal itself, etc.). He thinks of other new Chosen, and thinks of the resurrected, Aginor and Balthaemal, and their purposes. But most of all he wonders: where are Sammael and Lanfear hiding? Even the DO does not know, as neither are dead.


A brief scene of Osan'gar, and I won't even hazard a guess as to where he is.


A brief scene of Aran'gar, manipulating Egwene, outside of Caemlyn, and how she is using the TP to weave a _very_ subtle web of Compulsion, to control the young Amyrlin.


Getting towards the semi-dramatic end of the book, we see Rand in Illian, doing what King's do and stuff. He is directing the movement of Aiel towards the west, to counter the Seanchan, and the reorganization of his Grand Army (my title), now including Illianers, Tairens, Andorans, Cairhienin, Saldaeans, and Aiel. An embassy has arrive in Caemlyn from Kandor, another from Arafel, and another from Shienar is in Cairhien. He has no time to deal with these, and considers the Borderlands all but his anyways, though he is worried about the possibility of civil war. He expects them to come around when he goes north, even with the Blight settling down and apparent Shadow-wrought threats dying down. In Illian, he has no Aes Sedai with him, and he has made the final decision to send the Tower prisoners to the rebels, rather than tie up Asha'man dealing with them.


He is worried about the Asha'man, though those with him are growing more loyal directly to him, rather than Taim, as he has not heard from Taim for some days. Planning to visit the Black Tower very soon, he puts it out of his mind for now. Then word comes that Illianer and Tairen ships are being attacked by the Seanchan near Illian, as the Seanchan navy consolidates Altara's coastline. He sends a messanger to the Wind Folk, but is unsure how to handle this, and leaves it to the Illianer admirals and captains and naval experts to handle. He puts that aside, also, and broods about his three woman, the disappearance of Mat, and the disappearance of Lews Therin, basically taking a good look at his personal life for a change.


At sea, we finally catch up with Bayle Domon and Egeanin. They are aboard one of the Seanchan warships, having been captured with the male _a'dam_, but the Seanchan warships have not had a chance to put into port and drop the bracelets off, as they have been sent to Altara, where the DotNM and Suroth are anyways. They're on their way when we see them, with Egeanin being questioned, and Bayle Domon worming his way into the good favor of yet another Seanchan lord or officer. The point of this chapter is to catch up with BD and the bracelets, notably that the Seanchan have them, and are moving closer to Illian and Rand's territory.


A conclusion that involves Demandred, as it's my best guess that he is in charge of the Seanchan, not the Whitecloaks. If he were in charge of the Whitecloaks, it's doubtful they would have gotten screwed over in Amadicia by the Seanchan so badly. He is pleased to have the Seanchan Return (if not the Empire itself) under his control, and _very_ pleased to know that Mat Cathoun in "imprisoned" in Ebou Dar. What to do with this prize is where he is uncertain, as he never expected to have it.


Then he Travels to Ebou Dar to review the situation, just as the ships with Bayle Domon and Egeanin arrive. News of their cargo is great to Demandred, as he has been wondering how to deal with the Dragon Reborn without killing him, in a manner that will be good for revenge for whatever it was Lews Therin did to Demandred in the first place (existing, pretty much). From whatever position he's managed to manipulate and Compulse himself to, he takes the _a'dam_ for his own, then pays a brief visit to "Lord Cathoun," who of course has no idea who he's dealing with. In the Dramatic Scene, Mat and Demandred (who has a suitable Seanchan name like Dirogan or something) tries to use Compulsion on Mat to get whatever secret information he can, though he has no desire to kill a useful _ta'veren_, much less one that is a close friend of Rand's. Mat is stunned that a man is channeling at him, Demandred is in absolute shock at his flows melting around Mat. Demandred, realizing the threat, draws his sword, and Mat flips a knife at him. Hand to hand battle, Demandred dies, another Forsaken down permanent (Mat had to kill one sooner or later, what with that _ter'angreal_). Or maybe it will be Mesaana, or Semirhage. To sum it up: A Forsaken, one of the three, will attack Mat while he is in the hands of the Seanchan, and s/he will die. I'm not sure if Mat could kill a female Forsaken, but then again maybe the fact that she is a Forsaken will overcome his aversion to killing women.


Mat will gain prestige for this, somehow, especially if it is not Demandred he kills. If it is, he may have a tricky situation, what with killing a Seanchan lord. The Daughter of the Nine Moons will reward him herself with some title, or with some honor or privelage, and Mat will accept that his fate is permanently intertwined with that of the Seanchan. The path to his marriage will begin here, either as a means by the Seanchan of binding the lands to them or because Mat and the DotNM are in love, it will be obvious one way or another by the end of this book.


The Epilogue will be long, maybe a semi-epilogue covering a few chapters.



Lengthy, and detailed, and no doubt mostly off the mark, but the big predictions have to start somewhere.


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